Executive Summary

System-dependent verification of SBOMs routinely fails in practice, producing false negatives and blocking downstream deployment, and it particularly affects security teams, auditors, regulators and software vendors that must prove supply-chain provenance across heterogeneous build systems. An estimated 5,000,000 software-producing organizations—from small ISVs to global enterprises—experience pain when non-deterministic SBOM generation makes signatures unreproducible and compliance proofs unreliable. A focused product would provide deterministic SBOM canonicalization and signing that emits a compact, signed JWS receipt tied to both the artifact and its canonical CycloneDX/SPDX SBOM, enabling independent verification without re-running the original build environment. Integrations would include open-source signing stacks (Sigstore/cosign), CI/CD plugins, and an enterprise key-management/attestation layer, with a clear commercial path at roughly $4K ACV per customer for organizations that require audited receipts. This is attractive now because SBOM standard adoption and high-profile supply-chain breaches have increased demand for independent attestations; the reachable app/security tooling market is roughly $20.0B (5,000,000 orgs x $4K ACV), and our assessment scores the opportunity 92/100 for market and 88/100 for revenue potential. Converging standards (CycloneDX/SPDX) and maturing open-source signing ecosystems materially lower integration cost and shorten time-to-value for a signing/attestation layer. To stand out you'll need provable determinism (canonicalization algorithms and test suites), cross-vendor verification receipts that are small and auditable, and seamless CI/CD plus sigstore-compatible integrations, bundled with enterprise-grade key custody and legal-grade audit trails. The primary challenges are adoption inertia, medium competition including open-source alternatives, and operational complexity around key management and cross-organizational trust—issues that are solvable but require clear SLAs, reference customers, and deep interoperability with existing standards.

Market Opportunity

System-dependent verification fails — deterministic SBOM → signed JWS receipt targets a $20.0B = 5,000,000 software-producing organizations x $4K ACV (global app/security tooling market reachable by a signing/attestation layer) total addressable market with medium saturation and a year-over-year growth rate of 30% YoY.

Key trends driving demand: SBOM standardization -- CycloneDX/SPDX adoption reduces friction for deterministic signing and cross-vendor verification.; Supply-chain security spotlight -- High-profile breaches push enterprises to demand independent attestations, increasing demand for verifiable receipts.; Open-source signing stacks -- Projects like Sigstore/cosign lower integration cost and increase trust in signed artifacts.; CI/CD as trust anchors -- Shift to infrastructure-as-code and CI-driven builds makes automated signing pipelines natural integration points..

Key competitors include Sigstore / Cosign, In-toto / Supply-chain Attestation Projects, Synopsys Black Duck (Software Composition Analysis), Sonatype Nexus Lifecycle, OpenTimestamps / Blockchain Timestamping Services.

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System-dependent verification fails — deterministic SBOM → signed JWS receipt

Executive Summary

Market Validation

Market Opportunity

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